Intambara ya Iran na Amerika yatumye ibiciro bya Peteroli bitumbagira bigera ku 115$

Isi ikomeje guhagarika umutima nyuma y’aho ibiciro by’ibikomoka kuri peteroli bitumbagiriye ku buryo bukomeye, bitewe n’umwuka w’intambara uhanganishije Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika, Israel na Iran. Ibi byaje biherekeza ihungabana ry’amasoko y’imari n’imigabane muri Aziya, by’umwihariko mu Buyapani na Koreya y’Epfo, aho agaciro k’imigabane kamanutseho kigera kuri 4.5%.

Itumbagira ry’ibiciro bya Peteroli

Kuva intambara yatangira mu mpera za Gashyantare 2026, igiciro cya peteroli nticyigeze gihagarara:

• Brent Crude Oil: Igiciro cyazamutseho 3% kigera kuri 115$ ku kagunguru, mu gihe muri Gashyantare cyari kuri 72$.

• Muri Amerika: Peteroli icuruzwayo na yo yazamutseho 3.5% igera kuri 103$.

• Imibare y’amateka: Tariki ya 18 Werurwe 2026 ni bwo hagaragaye itumbagira ryo mu rwego rwo hejuru (119.50$) ryaherukaga kugaragara mu myaka ine ishize (Kamena 2022).

Umwuka mubi mu muhora wa Hormuz

Iran yatangaje ko ishobora kugaba ibitero ku mato anyura mu muhora wa Hormuz, umwe mu miyoboro ikomeye isi ikesha peteroli. Ibi byatumye ubwikorezi bwa peteroli budindira, mu gihe inyeshyamba z’aba-Houthi zo muri Yemen na zo zikomeje kugaba ibitero kuri Israel.

Perezida wa Amerika, Donald Trump, yagaragaje ko hari imishinga yo gufatira ibikorwa by’ubucuruzi bwa peteroli ya Iran ku kirwa cya Kharg, nka bumwe mu buryo bwo guca intege uyu mwanzi, mu gihe Amerika yamaze kohereza abasirikare bashya 3,500.

Umwanzuro

Iri tumbagira ry’ibiciro bya peteroli muri uyu mwaka wa 2026 riratwibutsa uburyo ubukungu bw’isi bwuzuzanya, aho intambara ibera mu Burasirazuba bwo Hagati ihita igira ingaruka ku masoko y’imari muri Aziya n’ubwikorezi bw’ibicuruzwa hirya no hino. Kuba igiciro cya peteroli cyazamutseho asaga 30$ mu kwezi kumwe gusa, ni ikimenyetso cy’uko ibiciro by’ibiribwa n’ingendo bishobora kuzamuka vuba hano iwacu mu Rwanda niba aya makimbirane adahosheje. Ni ibihe bisaba uburyo bushya bwo gucunga ingufu n’ubucuruzi mpuzamahanga, kugira ngo ingaruka z’iyi ntambara zitadindiza ubukungu bw’ibihugu bikiri mu nzira y’iterambere.